The question is whether this pressure will become effective soon enough. It takes a lot of time to implement any solution on this scale, and if things start falling apart before a transition can be made, we will be in serious trouble. This is why I believe we have to act now instead of trusting “market forces”.
From Time magazine:
“Ammonia from crude oil is a key ingredient in fertilizers”. Therefore when Oil starts getting more expensive, so will fertilizer. How else will we produce food in quantities large enough to feed the world? Especially since most industrially farmed soil is essentially dead, a sort of sponge which relies almost entirely on synthetic fertilizers.
To be honest, I’m somewhat new to these ideas, so I haven’t had a chance to read extremely deeply. The reason I’ve been starting debates on this topic is so that I can challenge these ideas and see whether they hold up under scrutiny. I’ve also read various anti-peak oil blogs, articles etc, and none of them have yet convinced me that a catastrophe is not a possibility.
“I’m not talking about rich people. I’m talking about business people”
Is there a difference?
“getting the impression of sitting in the same conference room.”
How is this different from conference calling or (more recently) Skype? Even if this were possible, I doubt it wold make a very significant impact on oil usage for transport, since an enormous amount is used for the distribution of goods, and since rich people are still going to want to take vacations.
From the summary of the book you linked:
“For instance, if we fail to respond to Sir Nicolas Stern’s call to meet appropriate stabilisation trajectories for greenhouse gas emissions, and we allow the average temperature of our planets surface to increase by 4–6 degrees Celsius, we will see staggering changes to our environment, including rapidly rising sea level, withering crops, diminishing water reserves, drought, cyclones, floods… allowing this to happen will be the failure of our species, and those that survive will have a deadly legacy.”
This is pretty much what I’m saying. I believe it is possible to make a smooth transition, I’m just pessimistic about humanity’s ability to institute such a change before the problems become immediately apparent, by which time it may be too late.