@fluxflow, you didn’t even attempt to answer my question.
What is Israel’s end game? What is the exit strategy for the state of almost constant warfare with the country’s neighbors? Because it seems to me that Netanyahu and his coalition are satisfied with the status quo.
And that is unacceptable to me, as it is to much of the rest of the world—which is why, contrary to your “Israel has lots of allies,” the country is constantly censured in the UN and only escapes repurcussions because the US has veto power.
As for Stuxnet, it wiped out a fifth of the country’s centrifuges. Tying this to a 2–3 year delay may be credible, or it may not (it didn’t reduce their know-how or capability and centrifuges can be replaced). In any case, comparing Stuxnet to a physical strike is comparing apples to oranges, and you have yet to explain why you are justified in your optimistic outlook as opposed to all of the experts interviewed in the article.
In the audience at that lecture was Rafi Eitan, 85, one of the Mossad’s most seasoned and well-known operatives. Eitan agreed with Dagan that Israel lacked the capabilities to attack Iran. When I spoke with him in October, Eitan said: “As early as 2006 (when Eitan was a senior cabinet minister), I told the cabinet that Israel couldn’t afford to attack Iran. First of all, because the home front is not ready. I told anyone who wanted and still wants to attack, they should just think about two missiles a day, no more than that, falling on Tel Aviv. And what will you do then? Beyond that, our attack won’t cause them significant damage. I was told during one of the discussions that it would delay them for three years, and I replied, ‘Not even three months.’ After all, they have scattered their facilities all over the country and under the ground. ‘What harm can you do to them?’ I asked. ‘You’ll manage to hit the entrances, and they’ll have them rebuilt in three months.’ ”
The article also notes that there is huge uncertainty about the utility of any attack, noting Iran’s copious anti-air defenses, its expectation of being attacked, its locating essential elements so deep underground that bunker busting bombs can’t penetrate, the need for IDF aircraft to refuel, and Iran’s promise of retaliation if attacked. Hell, we don’t even know for sure how far along Iran is from actually having weapons-grade material in the first place—especially if Iran is as nefarious and secretive as Israel is asserting as justification for attacking in the first place.
As for Iran “wanting to wipe Israel out,” I have several questions. (1) Do you realize that most Muslims, including likely Ahmadinejad, clearly believe that Israel should not politically exist, since the area it occupies is almost majority Muslim? (2) Do you actually believe that Iran would start a war, or launch a nuclear attack, on Israel based solely on this single statement of Ahmedinejad? Please answer these questions.
Finally, your statements about Palestinians are just farcical. I take it, based on your response, you don’t actually need me to point out that (whatever you’d like to spin Israel’s intentions), residents of the West Bank and Gaza—areas occupied by Israel—cannot actually participate in Israeli elections?