People love to try to predict, but more and more, I find people’s predictions unconvincing. It seems like the impact of these advances in technology is either lagging behind our capabilities or it just isn’t as earthshaking as we thought it might be.
I feel like I am in a race against time. It is possible that they will develop the medical technologies that will keep me from having a heart attack, and will reduce my weight and fix my knees and my brain, so I can live to be 120 or whatever it was I always had in mind, but will they get here in time?
It seems like technology is advancing, and knowledge is advancing, but it also turns out that there is so much more we need to know in order to do what we want to do. They can’t even figure out if my skin rashes are from allergies, and if so, to what? It’s fucking skin, fer chrissake! How hard can that be?
So I remain skeptical. Maybe we’ll get brain implants and instant access to all recorded human knowledge, but will that really help? Most of our problems have to do with what we don’t know, and that isn’t contained in recorded knowledge. Recorded knowledge helps for problems that have already been solved. It helps for finding answers we know.
however most of our problems are new ones. We get the answers to old ones pretty efficiently, I think. Knowledge is shared quickly. That’s the not problem.
The problem is what we don’t know, and finding what we don’t know is as slow as ever, it seems. Yes, we can sift through a gazillion possibilities in an hour now, instead of one thousand, but we still aren’t moving forward fast enough. Will we ever? Maybe it’s a matter of perception, and it’s impossible. The faster we can go, the slower it seems we are going.