Science is a method of creating knowledge. It relies on making hypotheses about how we think things work and then designing and running experiments to test those hypotheses in order to decide if they are false or not. If the results of the experiment are not as predicted, we say the hypothesis is false. If the experiment comes out as predicted, we say there is evidence to support the hypothesis.
We don’t say the hypothesis is true. There are a lot of reasons for this which I won’t go into here. But remember that even though there may be all kinds of evidence to support a hypothesis, it still may not be true. Similarly, even if we find the evidence contradicts the hypothesis, we might not have falsified it. Our experiment may have been run incorrectly or our logic could be incorrect, and there could be many other reasons why the experiment didn’t work even though our hypothesis actually is true.
Even in hard science, we use social constructs. What is a kilogram? Does a kilometer exist? These are things that exist only because humans made them up. They are social constructs. They do not exist in nature. Humans have imposed them on nature so that we may do our work.
Why kilometers? Why are they the length they are? Who decided this? Why did they decide this? You can look at that up, but the point is that someone invented it and the rest of us agreed to abide by that unit of measurement (except those of us who didn’t).
In order to communicate our idea of how big a kilometer is, we need to find a way to make it so precise that anyone can create a kilometer using the same set of instructions. I’m not sure what it’s based on, but it has to be some universal constant, or else it will introduce error into experiments and measurements very quickly.
In social science, we have the same issues that physicists had back before the days of universal measurement systems. We have to invent measurements systems. This means we have to define phenomena so that people can count them. How do you measure personality traits? This is a big problem and there are many competing tests and questionnaires and some people say the ones we have are perfect, and others say they leave out all kinds of important information we need if we are to predict human behavior.
In many cases, we have ideas about important aspects of personality, but we can’t measure them directly. These are called latent variables. So we develop theories. Let’s take intelligence. Some people will say that intelligence is measured on an SAT. Others will say it is measured on an intelligence test. Still others will say that you also have to look at people’s skills and abilities as measured on a skill inventory. Others want you to put in some concrete measure of success, such as income or wealth, and on and on.
In social science, relationships between traits and experience are expressed statistically, because, at least at the imprecise level of measurement we have, don’t always come out the same even though it looks like the inputs are the same. This is true in hard science, as well, but mainly at the quantum level. I believe all relationships in the universe are probabilistic, but there are many in the physical world that look like they happen the same in every case. I am suspicious of that, although I think the variation is extremely small, so it is worth treating it as a law.
In social science, saying that one factor predicts another 40% of the time is huge! Another way of saying that is that we have an R-squared (prediction value) of .4. This is all based on people coming up with ideas about intelligence and what it is made of and defining ways of measuring it, and then relating that to other aspects of a person’s life. These are social constructs with a lot more wiggle room. And you are right to be suspicious of it. If you are going to understand any social science research, you need to delve into the issue of definitions and measurements very carefully. Our ideas about these things are determined by building a consensus with other researchers. These things are correctly called social constructs. It is also important to understand they have been being built for tens of thousands of years—since humans became conscious.