As I wade into this, I have the distinct feeling of being a stranger in a strange land. I don’t tend to deal a lot with perfections, rather with realities. I hear arguments regarding guns from the left and the right, and both raise some valid points. Sadly, both sides drag in emotional, irrational arguments and trivialize the correct statements of the other side. Will we ever sort this mess out properly? I can’t imagine how.
First, the Constitution. The “Conservative” (which now seems to mean far right-wing) justices that read the 2nd amendment most liberally (because they are “conservative”) claim they are “Originalists.” In some areas, perhaps that is true. But how on earth can we take the writings of men familiar primarily with muskets, and translate them to the automatic fire rifles of today? The Founders only knew of single shot, muzzle loading weapons lacking rifling and with a relatively poor fit on the ammunition. They were not accurate beyond 80 yards. Muzzle velocity was around 700 MPH (the military AR-15 today is over 4,000 MPH) and the state-of-the art rate of fire was 7 rounds a minute. Most available muskets could not fire 1 round a minute. To claim that the Founders foresaw AK-48s and AR-15s with 90 round clips and receivers easily modified for burst or continuous fire is as Originalist as claiming the first cart-wright had in his head the plans for the Bugatti Veyron Super Sport with a top speed of 267 MPH.
Now to the realities.
A well armed citizenry would be no match for the US military. If some region such as the deep red South were to rebel simply because they didn’t get their way at the ballot box, they would rapidly be subdued by the military. Those who delude themselves into believing that Posse Comitatus would prohibit use of Federal Troops to enforce the rule of law have a Topsy Turvy idea of what the law states. Those who think the US Military would turn against their oath to support far-right rebellion spend way too much time in the echo chamber talking only to others just like themselves. For their own survival, they need to broaden their horizons.
That said, if an insurrection were triggered by a power grab aimed at the destruction of democracy, and anathema to the Constitution our Military are sworn to uphold, then you would see armed insurrection with the support and guidance of the Military. Numerous Middle Eastern Strong Men have recently discovered that they cannot stand against such force.
Likewise, if our Military fails to defend us at some point in the future, with nearly as many guns as people in the US and nearly half its households being armed, we would be an incredibly fractious lot to attempt to subdue. Even in countries where most civilians are not armed, a determined resistance has shown how effective asymmetric warfare can be at repelling better armed invaders.
Now to the bottom line.
Do guns make us safer or more vulnerable. The clear answer to that is, “It depends.” If you live in an isolated rural setting, and you awake to the sound of someone prying open a window or door, a call to 911 will bring help in time to perform the autopsies and search for the killers. I totally get why someone in that setting might want to be armed.
If you live in an urban setting, and have housekeepers, contractors and friends routinely moving freely about in your domicile, a gun may be a threat to your safety. If some of your family are fractious and hostile toward you, or if you sometimes fall into depression and harbor suicidal thoughts, a gun is the last thing you want within reach. 911 will bring help in minutes if there is a threat. Leave it to the professionals.