@JLeslie Again, this is not my own argument. I linked an article that offered one possible explanation, and I have explained how the researchers cited in that article might respond to your criticisms of their position. As for your new criticisms, I’ve already explained the response that could be made to them. Nevertheless, I will do so again—this time in greater detail.
The researchers cited in the article would argue that people of southern and central Europe got lighter at least in part because they themselves were not eating a diet rich in vitamin D. Thus they became light-skinned, and the absence of pressures to become dark-skinned meant that those of their descendants who traveled further north and became the Nordic people would not have been subjected to sufficient evolutionary pressures to prevent the proliferation of these light-skinned genes even if the lack of vitamin D ceased to be an issue.
As for the bit about choosing a mate, they would probably respond by pointing out that evolution does not work that way. That is, people do not choose mates for explicit evolutionary reasons. Attractions can be reinforced by evolution if those with certain attractions are more likely to survive long enough to reproduce and raise their children, and they can be reduced by evolution if those with certain attractions are less likely to survive long enough to reproduce and raise their children. But in no way would changes in skin color need to rely on conscious mate choice.
This isn’t to say that such things had no part in it. Many cultures have valued lighter skin for various reasons, and so that would add a social factor into the natural evolutionary process. The point, however, is that the researchers cited in the article need not appeal to such possibilities to defend their point. It would be enough to show that not suffering from a vitamin D deficiency made one less likely to die before reproducing and/or more likely to have a larger number of surviving children.
These effects could be achieved in either of two ways: (1) the children could be better off due to the direct benefits afforded them by their skin tone in the northern environment, or (2) the children could be better off due to their parents being healthier for a longer period of time (and thus garnering a greater share of the available resources, including those that might be devoted to child care). The latter point would be one way of responding to what you said about living past fertility age with low levels of vitamin D. It’s not just reproducing that matters, but the relative ability of one’s children to reproduce as well.
Regarding the timing of the various human migrations, Europe was settled 40,000–50,000 years ago, whereas the earliest migrations to the Americas happened 7,000–15,000 years ago. We have to remember, however, that there were several migrations out of Africa. It’s not a single line of people splitting up in various ways, but rather several separate groups setting off in different directions at different times.
Finally, nothing in my previous post had anything to do with your camouflage hypothesis. It was a response only to the single sentence you addressed to me in your first post, and one made on behalf of the researchers you were criticizing. I am not “upset” by your hypothesis, nor did I address it in any way. It was not, after all, part of what you directed at me. Since you asked, however, I am not aware of any scientific evidence in support of the camouflage hypothesis.
Moreover, it seems somewhat dubious in light of the fact that many people cover most of their bodies with clothing (thus limiting the advantage that skin tone could play in camouflaging them) and that few skin tones are adapted to their environment in this way (despite the fact that the putative evolutionary pressures don’t seem limited to any particular subgroup). Then there’s the problem of red hair and the fact that blue eyes are in no way limited to Nordic peoples.