Before Obama was about to be elected, I told my online American liberal acquaintances that they will be disappointed, that he should not be trusted, and that he and the Democratic party will largely continue the worst of the economic and foreign policies carried out by Bush and his neocon crooks. The responses ranged from incredulity to modest verbal hostility. Let’s just say that they were very defensive and thought I was talking nonsense.
About a year or two later, many started feeling disappointed and betrayed already. After the first term, all illusions were shattered, and they largely voted for him again only because Romney and his party appeared to be completely deranged.
Of course, some people are going to be happy with Obama. There are the true believers. Many may be genuinely satisfied with what he’s done and don’t think he could have done any more. But, how did I know he was going to be such a disappointment for many others?
It’s pretty simple.
The Republicans and Democrats are largely unified by the same ideology. Party policy is dictated primarily by the source of their funding and lobbying, and this is more or less the same regardless of which party is in power. They are both parties which pander to corporate interests.
“Elections are moments when groups of investors coalesce and invest to control the state.” Noam Chomsky — summarising Thomas Ferguson’s Investment theory of party competition
Presidents, and political candidates in general, are ideologically filtered. They are effectively screened and selected from the political class, with leading candidates having to appeal to the private and corporate sector in order to attain the necessary funding and media attention to be viable (there are the odd exceptions—although they have no chance at becoming President.) There was a good TED talk on this very topic, but I do not remember its title so cannot find it.
This is how I could predict that Obama would not be bringing any real change, and that he’s turned out almost exactly as I expected.
The two parties do have very different marketing strategies, and try to appeal to two very different constituencies. The USA has a very large fundamentalist Christian population, and it has been the Republican strategy to co-opt this group and use the sort of rhetoric and emotional triggers which appeal to them—which I think goes some way in understanding why Obama is often viewed as a non-American muslim, anti-christ, and a Marxist.
I think I don’t need to remind everyone that the ACA is similar to the proposals made by The Heritage Foundation many years ago, a right-wing, pro-corporate neoliberal think-tank.