If you do not buy the term policy, and invest the premium dollars in something else, there is no lost opportunity cost on the life insurance because you do not own the policy. If you buy the term, you get no return on your premium, (the insurance company does, but you don’t, hence the LOC of $37,717.) Then the loss of the death benefit, ($100,000.)
There is, however, a lost opportunity cost on your investment. It is the LOC on tax. If you buy the index fund, you will get a better return than 4%, but if you buy the term and invest the difference, you can not just calculate the return on the investment. You must also calculate the cost of the term and the investment to come up with the correct net return. To many life agents keep the two pots separate. Term in one pot and the investment in the other. But when they show the comparison against permanent insurance, they combine the cash value of the policy, (mortality and return on the money and then show how the BTITD works better. In reality, it does not.
I have sat down with clients that have told me they are comfortable set financially, and they are. But when I show them how just doing a few things differently 20 or 30 years ago creates an additional one to two million dollars of extra wealth today, they are shocked. That is because there is so much lost opportunity cost in the mortgage, the IRA and 401(k), the CD in the bank, their life insurance choice, how they funded auto and home owners insurance, it is like trying to keep a bucket full with a hole in the bottom. Unless you patch that hole, the bucket will never remain full. Our money works the same way.
Here is a simple example of loss wealth. You get a new job that offers a 401(k). When you first start working you may be in the 15% bracket. As you advance, you income increases, and your bracket starts to move upward. Years later you are in the 25% tax bracket. You are also buying the company’s group term. You put the maximum in the 401(k) each year and get the match.
You have done a good job with the 401(k) and other investments. You have retired, the group term has gone away, and you are ready to enjoy retirement. Suddenly you have a major medical emergency in the family that forces you to tap the 401(k) in rather large chunks. Suddenly you find that you are in the 28% bracket or 33% for a year or two. You must pay tax on the 401(k). So money that was put in at 15% is now coming out at 28%. You are now paying 13% more in tax than the government gave you credit for. Plus you also have lost all that LOC on the group term.
What if you had put only 7% of income into a 401(k) and put the rest in a good low tax, low load fund. And instead of buying the group term at work, (first $50,000 is paid by the employer,) or the 20 year term, you took some of the dividends from the investment and used those dollars to supplement premiums into a life policy, (a mix of term and permanent,) Now you are flat taxing the investment, lowering your taxes, and at retirement the insurance is using the dividends to pay premium. Now when that medical emergency comes and you need to tap into the investment, you have asset insurance to replace the used funds.
You mention you can afford to take the risk. If that is the case, think about self insuring your home, car, and health insurance. We never have enough money to cover the risk. In Financial planning there are six parts of your plan that must work together. Cash management, taxes, risk management, investment planning, retirement planning and estate planning. If they are not coordinated, you will experience tremendous loss of wealth. Most people are not aware of the loss, because they keep looking at each part separately, not as whole.
If you have any more questions, or want more examples, just let me know.