Hillary’s responses to releasing the wall street transcripts, from what I can see, have all just been very polite no’s. “I’ll look into it” is not “I’ll do it,” and “I’ll release them when there’s a precedent to release these sorts of things” is not “I’ll set the precedent.” (I’m paraphrasing—those aren’t exact quotes—but it still stands that she’s never promised to release them. She’s been softly trying to sidestep the issue. Whether or not it’s right for her to sidestep is a separate issue, and I don’t know enough about how the speeches sit in the larger political sphere to have an opinion on that right now.)
Trump isn’t as practiced at this sort of soft evasion—he’s trying to claim an IRS audit is delaying him, even though the IRS has stated that audits do not prevent someone from releasing their tax returns. I think it’s a more transparent and less effective sidestepping, one that is painfully easy to see through. (On the other hand, perhaps Hillary’s are too subtle.) But I don’t think he has outright promised to release anything either.
Of course politicians are reluctant to release anything they don’t have to release—the media jumps all over everything. I think in this case, the difference is what either campaign thinks is “necessary.” Hillary’s campaign, for the most part, follows the political precedents; this is no surprise—she has been a member of the Democratic party for decades. Trump’s campaign, for the most part, tries to find the bare minimum or most ostentatious; this is no surprise—those are the same tactics he employs in his business practices. (Maybe the campaign thinks he’ll gain some more publicity by releasing them later in the year, maybe they just hope the public will have forgotten or exhausted themselves by then.)
I’m very concerned about how many countries Trump will alienate as our president (he lacks diplomacy), I’m leery of his economic and sociopolitical stances (which are still rather vague), and I do not like the idea of another Scalia in the supreme court. (Yes, he was a very intelligent man, but he always had a very rigid and predictable bias. By contrast, Merrick Garland had received bipartisan support as a judge well before the whole supreme-court-appointment-outcry-nonsense. I don’t care that it was legally permissible, it was absurd.)
The tax returns? They’re not the highest on my list of concerns. Still, I doubt the actual documents can be as bad as what I’m imagining, since I know I don’t like Trump for other reasons and am imagining the tax returns based on the underhandedness of a man who files for bankruptcy to avoid paying contractors and/or threatens to tie them up in legal fees for trying to sue for their compensation. Would the returns change my mind if they wind up being somehow spotless? Doubtful, since I’m not deciding a president based solely on their tax returns.