Right now, I am struck by the inaccuracy of the polls. I have made offhand jokes about the skewed sample pollsters must get from using phones in this day and age (caller ID, I said, which isn’t even the issue)... but I assumed that they used them because the process actually did work.
I was listening to discussions on the radio today that should have happened months ago. The speakers were talking about how there was some level of arrogance in circles of college-educated liberals, in pollsters, in the media, etc.—that it was easier to brush off the contingency of the country that was building behind Trump as bigots than it was to actually consider their perspective in a meaningful way. The radio speakers talked about how many people in areas that were once high in manufacturing jobs are hopeful that Trump can (with his tariffs etc.) get companies to bring their manufacturing jobs back here… Bring back the good times of America’s manufacturing heyday.
But that heyday is gone—it’s not coming back. There was a period of time after labor unions dug manufacturing work out of the conditions of the industrial revolution, and before technology advanced even farther, that manufacturing jobs offered formidable livelihoods. My grandfather worked in manufacturing at that time—his career was winding down during a transition to heightened automation in his particular area, so it didn’t affect him much but he did witness the changes. And the economic landscape is different today—it won’t support the same number of manufacturing jobs for the same wages.
And the horrible irony, it seems to me, is that the goal of debt-free higher education in Clinton’s platform (after Sanders’s, sure) would offer people a way to afford the training/education to pursue other careers… Clinton also promised to support workers whose jobs are going to go by the wayside soon as the economic landscape continues to shift. People would have the support to pursue opportunities.
But there was no apparent effort to campaign on that kind of a platform. “Things are not as bad as they used to be” is not the same as “Hey, I see you’re having a hard time economically right now. Let me offer you the means to fix that and to choose where you want to be” ... I would say imagine how powerful the second one could be, but I guess we don’t have to imagine, because to some extent we saw it… I don’t see how Trump’s plan actually offers the second statement, and the economists on the radio certainly articulated all of the ways that it doesn’t actually offer the second statement, but he certainly said the second statement in so many words.
So I guess I am struck by realizing my own privilege. I hear “things are better now than they were eight years ago” and I feel it. So I I guess I get to focus on Trump’s bigotry and be outraged by it. I get to focus on Trump’s bluster and bemoan his inexperience, his ignorance on many international issues, his lack of substantial policies, etc., and feel smug and indignant. I am not in a position where I feel politically invisible and economically strapped and looking towards Trump as someone who vocalizes that disquiet and disillusionment.
I don’t know. Maybe this is all a totally inaccurate portrayal of another perspective… It’s just what’s going on in the part of my head trying to come to grips with this whole thing.
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I also heard on the radio that the number of people voting this year wasn’t necessarily up that much (I didn’t catch specific numbers), and the number of Democrats/Obama supporters was down. I wonder, again, if better polling would have changed that. I wonder if many liberal-leaning people who disliked both candidates, but felt like Clinton would win, thought they could avoid compromising with their vote and still wind up with the more liberal of two perceived evils. Maybe not.
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I am also still a bit confused why the Comey thing became such a negative for Clinton. The only new emails that were found were personal. You would think such a fact would lend some amount of credibility to Clinton’s claim to that the deleted emails were personal emails, even if just the slightest amount…
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I am fairly concerned about the shape of the next four years, and for now I am just hoping that my concerns are proven unnecessary.