Has anyone seen statistics on severe illness from COVID-19 by age group?
Asked by
JLeslie (
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March 19th, 2020
from iPhone
EXAMPLE (these are NOT real statistics): What I mean is something like people ages 20–40 if1000 are infected 3 people get severe illness needing some sort of hospitalization, ages 40–60 6 out of 1000, if above the ages of 60 200 in 1000 have severe illness. THESE STATS ARE COMPLETELY MADE UP, but that’s the type of thing I’m looking for.
I would think Korea or China must have stats that tell us this. Maybe you can help me google.
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23 Answers
Here is an article with some more statistics, this one about America.
I would be interested in racial and gender breakdowns as well.
@longgone That’s a great link, thanks.
The reason I wanted to focus on severe illness, was because fatality might partly have to do with access to healthcare, but the fatality rate is important to me too.
@elbanditoroso I wonder if race stats will be very different in America than other countries? Since the virus is first on the Eurasian continent, which is less diverse by race within a country than in America, America will be a true test of any race difference where the people live in the same geographical area.
Like I said above, I wanted to focus on severe illness to see who is most susceptible. There could be race differences, I hadn’t thought of it before. Probably, in America, we will see African Americans affected disproportionately because they statistically have more health problems like high BP and diabetes, but that would not necessarily mean the race is more at risk. Maybe they won’t have a higher severe illness risk, but I higher fatality rate. I really have no true guesses, just babbling here.
I heard this two days ago on March 17.
The fatality rate for those under the age of 60 was 1%.
From 60 to 70, 2.5%.
70 to 80, 4.5%
80 up, 8%.
On some show yesterday I heard that half of the world’s population could get this thing.
@kritiper I’ve seen those stats actually. Thanks though. I’m worried about how many people where I live will need supportive care. Our population is very different than a typical city.
Today’s NY Times has an article on large number of younger adults being hospitalized.
@JLeslie Assume then that 3.4% of your population that get it will die from it.
@kritiper No. Where I live we are at much higher risk for many more deaths than the average statistics. We are an entire city of older Americans, 120,000 people. If a lot of them get severely ill the hospital will get overloaded extremely quickly and people will die, because they won’t be treated, they will be left to die untreated. That is what is happening in part of Italy. The hospitals do take care of surrounding areas that have more of an age variety, but young people will be prioritized if it gets to that point. People live through extreme symptoms, because they get supportive help from a hospital. Part of the death rate in Italy is people not able to receive enough medical help, they might have lived.
80% of those who get it will not have serious symptoms. That applies to all age groups, as I have seen it mentioned.
There are less than 65,000 hospital beds in all of the United States.
I just saw an article saying 40% of COVID19 cases with severe symptoms is seen in ages 20–54. So I guess that means 60% in older people, except for the very few younger than age 20. Unless there are more than I think in the children.
Check your sources @JLeslie. Don’t believe everything you read.
And yes. I’ve seen lots of statistics.
82% of cases will be mild.
Those at the highest risk are the elderly, 70 years+
This morbid obsession with statistics is half the problem.
I get there is concern, you would be as cold as a slab of concrete not to be, but Jesus on a bike…give yourselves a break!
@Dutchess_III Those stats don’t sound far fetched. That’s fairly close to even across all age groups. A little higher for people 55 and over. Assuming people under 20 the percentage is very low.
@ucme The stats aren’t perfectly accurate obviously. Not all people infected are known. Just trying to get an idea. In America the stats will be extremely inaccurate.
I know the U.K. is just letting it all ride out. Unless that has changed?
People with comorbidities should be worried. Heart problems, COPD, immunodeficiencies, etc.
I read report from an Italian doctor saying they may have to put a maximum age limit on ventilators. Older than that and sayonara.
I had an argument with someone on FB because she was upset about the thought of doctors picking and choosing who would get the ventilator, if there was a shortage. That’s the reality, though. They’re going to choose who is most likely to recover, just like when it comes to organ recipients.
It’s already a government directive in Italy. They are not venting the elderly if they don’t have enough ventilators at the hospital. I don’t think it’s happening at all hospitals, but they do all function under that same premise if they fill up.
The healthcare workers are being traumatized. They watch people sick and die alone. They have to choose to not help a patient if they are overwhelmed. It’s like a war zone in some parts of Italy.
Here in America it seems no one can visit a patient in ICU no matter what the illness. That’s what everyone I know has said who has someone in the hospital, and @chyna said it’s the same at her hospital. I guess it might vary by state or hospital I don’t know.
An email from a local hospital:
—For inpatient areas, visitors are no longer allowed at this time.
—For end-of-life care and other limited situations, we will make exceptions.
—Emergency Departments: Respect a limit of one support person per patient to the greatest extent possible.
@Call_Me_Jay Oh wow, I don’t think I realized all inpatient areas aren’t allowing visitors. Thanks for that.
^^Thanks! Interesting data. Terrifying actually.
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