Florida, USA
Some of the big deals here would be when will Disney reopen, and Miami international airport be back to functioning as normal, and beaches open. My guess is Disney not until end of August. It’s such a risk. Even then they might require masks. Summer is Disney’s big season so it’s a huge loss. The time period we are in now, spring break, is also a massive loss for Disney and the state in terms of tax dollars. Florida relies on tourists to pay for so much.
Miami might be more normal by July, except I think flights from Latin America might still be barred. Latin America is only just beginning into the crisis.
Beaches I think start reopening in Mid May with restrictions. Maybe wide open in August if there is not a resurgence of cases. Thing is, I don’t see how there won’t be a resurgence if they get lax, and they are likely to get lax too fast in my state.
Where I live specifically, which is in central Florida an hour north of Orlando, things might be changed until a vaccine. So maybe until a year from now or more. Probably, some outdoor activities will resume by Mid May. Maybe even some indoor activities like Zumba with strict control over how many in a class for good spacing by July. Restaurants with a 50% rule in July. Indoor activities like bunco where 50 people in a room are touching the dice I don’t think for over a year or more.
I think grocery stores don’t get completely normal until August. We have this crisis plus hurricane season coming up. People are already thinking of being ready for both. I’m already planning to transition to more pantry goods than freezer by mid May. It’s not a huge deal, but we are aware of it. Making sure we have batteries, bottled water, etc. During a hurricane there are no emergency services to help you once winds are sustained at 40mph. Any grave emergency and you die at home. I think if the Atlantic is active with tropical depressions and storms people will be a little wary.
Where I live we usually have a constant flow of people renting houses and buying houses. My city sells on average 400 homes per month, 200 are new construction. I think this will slow considerably. I don’t think it gets normal again for over a year.
So much of this depends on what percentage of the population gets COVID19 and how fast. If we start controlling it really well now, we will have very little immunity in the population and outbreaks will be very likely. Hopefully wearing a mask stays in play for many many months.