Social Question

jca2's avatar

Look into your crystal ball: When would you guess everything is going to be up and running again in your part of the world?

Asked by jca2 (16920points) April 5th, 2020

Get out your crystal ball. When would you guess that schools would be back open, restaurants, bars, stores, gyms, services would be back open, up and running, everyone (or most people) back to work? When do you think people will be flying to vacation spots, taking trips?

Where I am, southern NY (commonly known as the Tri-state Area), everything is closed and a big topic of conversation with friends and family is how long we might guess things would be closed for. This includes most of us working from home, except essential workers. Summer is coming, and people are wondering if camp would be open, pools would open, amusement parks would open, parks in general would open.

Observing members: 0 Composing members: 0

16 Answers

rebbel's avatar

My gut tells me August.
Netherlands, Europe.

zenvelo's avatar

Northern California….August.

stanleybmanly's avatar

Up and running makes for wide latitude. To my mind, things are NEVER going to be the same. My guess is that we might cease wearing masks sometime in July. I was speculating just this morning on just how many restaurants will bother to reopen in this town defined by its eateries. How many folks acclimated to ordering out, will bother with sitdown dining when the virus subsides? The same holds true for those currently working from home. How many enterprises will discover that they don’t require the crippling expense of a financial district office?

elbanditoroso's avatar

Atlanta, Georgia USA. My guess: mid-to-late May.

RedDeerGuy1's avatar

Alberta Canada. Never. It will never recover to the way it was. It is a new way of life that Is will end up better if we social distance properly. We will do almost everything online.

mazingerz88's avatar

I’m exposed to a very high risk person almost everyday so my guess is the day when I get vaccinated, that’s the only time most everything would feel at peace and normal from my own pov. 18 month wait at the least I think.

stanleybmanly's avatar

From a practical standpoint, “normal” will be after most of us have been infected and recovered.

Tropical_Willie's avatar

Close to normal September, completely back probably never; like it was last January. A vaccine will make it easy to socialize. Eastern US.

JLeslie's avatar

Florida, USA

Some of the big deals here would be when will Disney reopen, and Miami international airport be back to functioning as normal, and beaches open. My guess is Disney not until end of August. It’s such a risk. Even then they might require masks. Summer is Disney’s big season so it’s a huge loss. The time period we are in now, spring break, is also a massive loss for Disney and the state in terms of tax dollars. Florida relies on tourists to pay for so much.

Miami might be more normal by July, except I think flights from Latin America might still be barred. Latin America is only just beginning into the crisis.

Beaches I think start reopening in Mid May with restrictions. Maybe wide open in August if there is not a resurgence of cases. Thing is, I don’t see how there won’t be a resurgence if they get lax, and they are likely to get lax too fast in my state.

Where I live specifically, which is in central Florida an hour north of Orlando, things might be changed until a vaccine. So maybe until a year from now or more. Probably, some outdoor activities will resume by Mid May. Maybe even some indoor activities like Zumba with strict control over how many in a class for good spacing by July. Restaurants with a 50% rule in July. Indoor activities like bunco where 50 people in a room are touching the dice I don’t think for over a year or more.

I think grocery stores don’t get completely normal until August. We have this crisis plus hurricane season coming up. People are already thinking of being ready for both. I’m already planning to transition to more pantry goods than freezer by mid May. It’s not a huge deal, but we are aware of it. Making sure we have batteries, bottled water, etc. During a hurricane there are no emergency services to help you once winds are sustained at 40mph. Any grave emergency and you die at home. I think if the Atlantic is active with tropical depressions and storms people will be a little wary.

Where I live we usually have a constant flow of people renting houses and buying houses. My city sells on average 400 homes per month, 200 are new construction. I think this will slow considerably. I don’t think it gets normal again for over a year.

So much of this depends on what percentage of the population gets COVID19 and how fast. If we start controlling it really well now, we will have very little immunity in the population and outbreaks will be very likely. Hopefully wearing a mask stays in play for many many months.

lucillelucillelucille's avatar

A few weeks, I hope.

ucme's avatar

I tried but my view was blocked by all those flying monkeys.

anniereborn's avatar

A year at least. (Chicago)

Inspired_2write's avatar

I say this November.

Patty_Melt's avatar

I think we’ll bounce back pretty well. People in my small town area are really pulling together.

I have a gift for anyone who had to cancel a Disney trip. Enjoy

Cupcake's avatar

@JLeslie I didn’t think of this continuing through the start of hurricane season. I have planned for us to all be home for 1–2 more months, but (as a native northerner) hadn’t thought of the start of hurricane season. The two coinciding could (will?) be a whole disaster.

Many predictive models are showing a smaller resurgence in the fall. And, of course, there will be resurgences when restrictions are lifted too soon. I don’t think things will be “normal” for about 2 years until most of us are immune/vaccinated.

My “normal” in on a University campus. Graduations are cancelled; in-person classes this summer will all be online. Backup plans are being made for fall. I think working from home will become my new normal, punctuated with occasional on-campus meetings.

JLeslie's avatar

@Cupcake June through November, but the most likely is the August and September timeframe. They do happen before and after though. I think FL will still be dealing with masks and caution re C19 into June in an official advisory or order of some sort.

Honestly, I see this with us for over a year at some level until vaccination as well. If no vaccine is effective it will be years. It will be a matter of each individual taking their own chances once over 50% of the population is immune, assuming we stay immune for a while once we have contracted it. That’s what I think. Since we slowed transmission the thing can still run rampant when outbreaks occur in a location.

Back to hurricane season, I’m just going to buy a little extra canned and other pantry goods each time I shop. If I do it over the next month it won’t be wiping out shelves. I don’t want to buy up huge quantities of anything at once, it’s unfair right now. I also don’t want to deal with the store if people are panicking because a storm is in the Atlantic, even if it never comes close to Florida. It could be tracking to Bermuda and people here will flip out with the stress we are already under.

Answer this question

Login

or

Join

to answer.
Your answer will be saved while you login or join.

Have a question? Ask Fluther!

What do you know more about?
or
Knowledge Networking @ Fluther