Not really. Unemployment benefits are limited to begin with, both in amount and duration; the temporary COVID-related boost certainly helps, but both the supplement and the base UI funds will eventually end. So whatever “crisis” conservatives have created in the public discourse is temporary, at best. Eventually people will have to return to some kind of work, just to be able to stay afloat.
What IS a crisis is that the minimum wage has stagnated for decades, and costs have outpaced this base rate. People are increasingly unable to afford housing and other essential elements necessary to maintain a basic standard of living. We would have approached this point anyway, where there is an undercurrent of unrest regarding how our labor force is structured and designed. The pandemic just sped up and exacerbated this, so that we are confronting these issues now rather than, say, a couple more years down the road. But this conversation and reckoning was coming, and is long overdue.
What’s making things difficult right now is even though businesses are re-opening and returning to a new “normal”, not every business has returned to the same level of operations. Additionally, too many people have turned to Amazon and other online platforms (some of which are monopolies or in the process of becoming monopolies), which further suffocates brick-and-mortar businesses, whether local, regional, or national entities. So the labor market itself is changing and adjusting because of this. A set number of expected hours or familiar wax-and-wane patterns (more business during the holidays, pre-summer, pre-fall, etc., etc.) have changed or vanished. This results in limited hours. Some employers are readily hiring, but more on an on-call basis, or offering the same part-time jobs as before, but controlled so that employers don’t have to pay benefits (one dodge a lot of big corporation do is use staffing agencies—they’ve been shifting towards this the last 10–20 years, but I see this slowly accelerating again). So people are facing a new labor market where they are “earning” the same or more on unemployment as they did in their old jobs, and they know based on what we all went through the last 16 or so months is that it doesn’t have to be that way. “Essential workers” and others who work in the supply chain or at the retail end are realizing they have power—they just have not used it.
Additionally, with children at home or other family obligations, it means that people who might already be back at work currently have no means to obtain childcare or ensure that other family members are cared for at this time. So some parents may choose to stay home a bit longer, as the uncertainty plays out (Open this week! Whoops, closed again three weeks later. Masks off, no worries! Oh, wait… masks on again, please!).
A number of people also retired or changed careers. We are seeing this play out right now with the huge gas price spikes. Gas tanker drivers are a small number of the total trucker force, to begin with, and the older ones, sidelined during the height of the pandemic last year, decided retiring now rather than a couple years down the road was A-OK. This is a factor in why prices at your local station jumped.
So there are some industries or areas where there is indeed a slight labor shortage. Others may have changed careers. A waiter may have finally decided to find a more stable job, for example. A cook may have used their leverage to find a job in a different place where they could earn a bit more. A retail worker may have returned to school, or is now taking the opportunity to leverage the small amount of power they have to try to get a better-paying job, or a full-time slot rather than return to the same job they had before.
So yes, there’s a “crisis”, but it’s a lot more complex than conservatives would have you believe. The job market is in flux, and so there’s a temporary advantage for workers, not employers, to determine where and when to rejoin the workforce. But the overarching issue here is an affordability crisis: housing, food, and other essentials. Wages are going to have to go up, and whether the consumer pays (more likely) or the employer does (this is what SHOULD happen; C-suite compensation is out of control), it’s a conversation we need to have immediately. Add the specter of climate change into the mix (food costs will probably start to skyrocket before long, as droughts worsen, fires increase, and temperature fluctuations destabilize growing and harvesting), and you’re looking at a real mess.