Anyone here familiar with Farmers Almanac?
Specifically, how accurate, or inaccurate, are its weather forecasts?
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11 Answers
I just saw an online article, that Farmers Almanac is predicting another tough winter for Texas. We don’t want to deal with that crap again. Someone tell me they are full of it. Please.
Well. I’ve noticed that on my Facebook memories, that is “Three years ago today” if I mention the weather then, it’s almost always the same weather on the current date.
Not good. Don’t want another winter of falling on my butt on an icy driveway, to get to my car.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac’s evaluation of their 2020/2021 predictions:
Our overall accuracy rate was lower than most years. Specifically, the accuracy rate in forecasting the change in temperature versus the prevoius winter across all 18 regions of the U.S. was 72.2%, while our accuracy rate in forecasting the change in precipitation was 77.8% This is below are traditional average rate of 80%.
I wouldn’t trust the Farmer’s Almanac as far as I could throw it. If you want accurate weather forecasts, check with your local television news sources.
Weather??
I thought they were part of FarmersOnly…
I guess that guy who said he would put me in their calendar had something else in mind. o_0
When i was a kid – way before the internet – I used to read the Farmer’s Almanac.
@JLoon Of course I read it for the articles and not the (nonexistent) Farmmate of the Month spread half way through the 150 page tome.
I loved all the info packed inside. Every page had something interesting: nut and bolts sizes, fertilizer per acre, types of cloth, sunrise/sunset tables, etc. I would take my time and look through every page.
Even at that age I considered the weather section hooey although statistically they were right. It’s going to be hot in the summer and cold in the winter. .
Now that we have historical data at our finger tips, given no other information you can predict what will happen this year by looking at what happened during the previous 2 or 3 years.and averaging it out. It is a best guess.
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Climate used to be more stable, so weather for a particular month used to be more predictable. I suppose that’s what happens when we add 20×10^9 tons of CO2 into the atmosphere every year.
Of course. They are surprisingly accurate for what it is.
@SnipSnip I hope you’re wrong. Can’t take another winter of that crapola. And our Legislature still has taken no action. To busy finding ways to criminalize women who need an abortion.
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