What does the ceasefire between Hezbolla and Isreal mean?

The article

It means Israel will pull out of Lebanon so that hundreds of thousands of people can return to their homes on both sides of the border. Palestinians in the West Bank will continue to be forced from their homes and the people of Gaza no longer have homes.

I was glad to see it. I was afraid everything would be stalled until Trump was in office. Hundreds of thousands of Israelis have been unable to live in their homes near the north border, some since Oct 2023. I assume many Lebanese have been displaced also for safety. The Lebanese people won’t have to worry about Israel attacking with a cease fire in place.

I suspect that Hesbola will use the time to replenish supplies for another attack later.

A step in the right direction.

I suspect it means what peace deals in the region have always meant. It means that there will be cessation of hostilities. I don’t know what all the details of the agreement are so I cannot comment on what comes after or how we get there. And Hezbollah has not agreed to anything. And here’s the really weird part: Hezbollah is not a nation. They are in Lebannon but aren’t representatives of the government nor of the military. They are radical terrorists that bully people wherever they are. I feel sorry for the Lebanese people who Hezbollah puts in danger.

So I suspect, based entirely on history, there will be a cease-fire in the region for a while (if Hezbollah accepts the plan). This period of peace will go on until the radicals in Hezbollah feel their duty to Allah outweighs any duty to uphold their word and then they will attack again, ignoring everything that is decided today.

What @flutherother said. It’s a good thing that a part of the fighting that the U.S. fully supports will stop and civilians in southern Lebanon will stop being killed and their homes will stop being destroyed (assuming that the ceasefire is honored). But the attacks rage on in the Palestinian territories, and Gaza will continue to be razed.

@Demosthenes “But the attacks rage on in the Palestinian territories, and Gaza will continue to be razed.” I’m not even sure of that at this point. I heard the day after our election, once Trump was declared the winner, Hamas indicated they wanted an end to the war with Israel. I think that even if Biden stepped in and pushed a little, the festivities in the Gaza Strip would likely come to an end. But it would require Hamas to give up all the hostages. We have yet to see if that is on the table for them.

Correction: I just heard in some reporting that it has been about 60,000 Israelis who have been displaced in the north the past year. I don’t know the number of Lebanese.

@Demosthenes Do you see Israel as the aggressor in Lebanon regarding the conflict with Hezbollah the past year? I thought Hezbollah fired the first shots or bombs right after Hamas attacked Israel.

@JLeslie Yes, Hezbollah started the stuff in Lebanon. Much the same way that Hamas started the current conflict in the Gaza Strip. It seems to be popular opinion that any group can attack Israel and if Israel fights back they are automatically the aggressors.

@seawulf575 Ok, thanks. I am still curious how @Demosthenes sees it since we tend to not see eye to eye on the conflict, although not completely on opposite sides about it. I more or less know how he feels about the situation in Gaza prior to Oct 7 and now, but I have no idea how he looks at the Lebanon and Hezbollah situation. What I did notice was he showed concerned for the Lebanese in Southern Lebanon being killed, I care about that too, but he did not mention the Israelis in northern Israel. I don’t understand not caring about all civilians. Honestly, even soldiers, because soldiers are human beings also with lives, family, and friends too.

@JLeslie I, too, feel sorry for the civilians. But that is how these heroes in Hamas and Hezbollah work. They start fights and then hide behind civilians so there isn’t as much reprisal. Hamas build tunnels under the city with major hubs under hospitals. Hezbollah, as I said, aren’t even part of the Lebanese government and are certainly not part of the military. They are thugs. They are terrorists that bully people. They attack Israel and then hide behind the Lebanese civilians. They then scream about Israeli aggression when a civilian get killed.

I was hoping for something like this.
I am aware it will likely be unsustainable, but it is a start.

I had heard recently that the leaders of the IDF, had claimed that all of their military objectives were complete.
So. It was a matter of time before there would be no way to justify further action.
Gaza is rubble.
Tens of thousands of people are dead.
I know that the region was ready for an end to the cycle. I know I was.

To me, the biggest problem now, is what happens to Gaza. How it will be rebuilt, by whom, and how Israel will coexist with whatever people return.

Netanyahu will probably want Gaza, to be some type of Police state, ultimately under Israeli control.
The Gazans will want the opposite.

IF anyone is serious about long term peace, the previous dynamics must be avoided.
Perhaps the internationally community, can help figure out something. The US, will be out/leader-less, soon, so shouldn’t have any role.

Other leaders, will have to step up, and help put together a sustainable solution.
Luckily, for all involved, this didn’t occur during Trump’s term.
It’s likely that was a big factor, as well. Most countries have developed a plan, for proceeding with world matters without the US, like in Trump’s first term.

It’s the same reason why the Ukrainians pulled their surprise attack on Russia.

The stock markets had a plan for a Trump presidency too.