Can the polls be trusted?

Not to be trusted!

Sure I do. I know the pollsters reputations depend on the accuracy of their results. I know that research shows that polls are pretty accurate at predicting the vote, especially one day out. I know they pollsters are aware of a large variety of things that could possibly skey their results, and they work hard to adjust for these things.

Mistrust of polling is more a political thing than a scientific thing. People who want to ignore them, can. I don’t see how it helps. People following exit polls should be aware of the problems there, but again, the pollsters are trying to correct these things, and the media is working on being right instead of first. Exit poll results are embargoed until 6 pm, anyway, this year. But you can be sure that people will be surfing the internet for sources of real live information.

All I can say is, wait a day, and we’ll pretty much know all the results.

I trust www.fivethirtyeight.com to give me accurate polling data. I trust them because they talk about the bias of the polls and analyze how the data was collected and what that means for accuracy.

Through all history of democracy and voting, Exit Polls have been a trusted measure——Until 2000 and 2004 when Exit Pollers were slimed by the Republicans in order to obscure the Ohio election theft. Exit polls showed Kerry winning among men by 53% and winning among women by 55%—-the election was won in rural areas where the small towns had 1000 registered voters and Bush got 1500 votes.
But hey, what you don’t know will not hurt, right?

You all know what I’m going to answer. I however don’t.

They have been wrong before. Remember the Zogby polls that said Kerry was going to win in 2004. But from all the polling information, it seems very unlikely that Obama will lose.

Still, I’ll feel better when all the votes are tallied.

No many who take part in polls don’t vote.