I do think Obama has a goal of pay as you go government, but it’s just not possible. Where the money will come from, well here’s the theory.
We save or create 3 million jobs in the short term…that 3 million people drawing a paycheck and paying taxes into the system…the system wouldn’t have otherwise collected any taxes on these people. Let’s say 4 million people at 30 grand a year on average, that’s $120 billion a year in money that is taxed at say an average of 15%, that makes up 18 billion in taxes per year on that $825 million investment, which in and of itself is still a 46 year pay back, not even counting the time value of money.
But job creation is just part of that spending. Again, 825 billion injected in spending into the economy has the impact of 3.5 dollars added to the economy overall. The money gets spent the first time…the businesses pay taxes on additional revenues, they spend the money with their suppliers, the suppliers pay taxes on that money, their suppliers get a cut and they pay taxes on the money they get. The money that doesn’t get invested in the business is either payroll for a new employee or profit for the owner, but hey, you have more jobs, you need more capacity, to expand capacity you need more people, hence more jobs, more demand, more need for supply, more jobs to meet that supply need.
The problem has been that supply side economics states that if we have a supply of money in the hands of people who can use it to create jobs, they will do so. But it doesn’t specify where the demand is supposed to come from to purchase the fruits of that added supply created by the new jobs. You can create supply, but you can’t create demand by putting the money in a big funnel at the top.
But, if you spread the money at the bottom among people who don’t have jobs, or who have jobs but aren’t making ends meed, or who own businesses that aren’t able to pay the bills (and their suppliers who aren’t able to pay their bills because their best customers have stopped buying), what happens is suddenly the vast majority of that money is NOT thrown directly at creating jobs which the economy can’t support, instead it’s allowing people to satisfy their needs and wants, which in turn FORCES businesses to up their production, which means hiring new people, which means more people paying taxes and spending money to meet their needs and wants, which means even MORE businesses upping staff to meet demands, and their suppliers upping staff to meet the demands of their customers and so on and so forth, and until you reach a point where everyone’s every need and want is met, there’s absolutely no limit to how much money you can inject via way of spending. When a new job is created, the job holder pays taxes on his income, and everyone he gives money to for any good or service pays taxes on their additional profit, and any money that is reinvested in the business and used to buy anything is taxed via the profits of the company from which the first company bought things, and for every additional dollar paid in salary, that’s another dollar someone has to spend with a business that will eventually be taxed on it.
THAT is how you eventually get to the point where it doesn’t matter if we’re $3 trillion in debt now and going to $5 or $8 trillion before it gets better. Just look at the late 1990s, almost everyone who had a job wanted one, the service industry couldn’t even keep warm bodies, the government had a surplus, because tax receipts were higher than ever before, because more people were working and spending money than before.
THAT is what we need to get back to. So abolishing taxes altogether, and not spending any money…tell me how THAT is supposed to work? I don’t agree with the extent to which we’ve extended our military empire either, but I do have faith that Obama will put people where they are actually needed to ensure the safety and stablity of the US and the World and not strategically in places where our presence might pay off in oil riches. The only way I can see to abolish the IRS (and as such the military) would be first for the government to declare manifest destiny on the entire land holdings of every American citizen on US soil, then redistribute a parcel of farmable land to every family, declare bankruptcy and shut down. And how quickly would a military force from a hostile nation come in and take those parcels of land one by one? That’s a naiive, dangerous idea and as much as I hate taxes, I think the problem isn’t that we HAVE taxes, it’s that our tax structure unfairly benefits those who can most afford to pay the taxes and unfairly crushes those who can least afford to foot the bill. Make the tax structure more fair, tax prosperity, then invest in creating the prosperity that will be taxed, that is how you get out of debt and make sure everyone gets a fair shake, and has a government working to make their lives better in ways they could never do on their own.