Its already banned in 16 states. In California it is a $50 fine for the first offense and a $100 fine for each additional offense.
When you approach this from a scientific risk assessment perspective, the odds of being in a fatal crash on any given instance of texting while driving works out to about one chance in 14.5 million, or about the same as winning the California Lottery. The odds are considerably less for talking on the phone.
Nonetheless, an estimated 3,000 people die each year in cell-phone related car accidents (2,000 from texting). However, these numbers are inflated because they count everyone who dies, regardless if the cell phone user is the driver, a passenger or a pedestrian. For example, if a non-phone-using driver plows into a full car where one of the passengers is using a cell phone, and they all die, all the deaths are counted as “cell-phone related.” When you adjust to count only cell phone-using drivers who kill themselves or someone else, the number of cell phone-related deaths drops to about 800.
So, the number of deaths does not suggest any great epidemic of death and carnage sweeping the country due to cell phone use. In fact, all vehicle deaths were down 9% in 2008 at a time when cell phone use, particularly texting (thanks to Twitter) was climbing to all-time highs. There is no spike in accidents after 9:PM or on weekends when most people’s free minutes kick in, or any of the other things we would expect from what we know about patterns of cell phone use.
Nonetheless, there is a surprising number of people are convinced that it is a highly dangerous activity, and that anyone who does it should be taken out and shot. And I’m not kidding. They were ready to lynch me simply for trying to present them with risk assessment facts that contradicted their firmly held conviction.
Apparently, people who use cell phones while driving tend to drive like idiots and jerks, so cell phone users tend to become a lightning rod for anyone who has pent up rage over all the near misses and instances of traffic rudeness visited upon them by the millions of idiots and jerks who apparently clog the nation’s roadways. One particularly vehement woman was rear-ended by a man who was picking his nose. She was of the opinion that anyone who doesn’t drive eyes-front, both hands on the wheel, and 100% attention on the roadway was lower than toenail dirt and ought to be put to death.
The studies like the Utah study that @Marina cites above suggest that using a cell phone poses a danger equivalent to a blood alcohol level of 0.08%, suggesting that cell phone use is on a par with drinking and driving. But, while 0.08% blood-alcohol level isn’t really very drunk. Driving while actually drunk is more around 0.16% or higher. When you adjust the risk formula for the number of people who text and drive versus the number who drink and drive (which we know from surveys) if people who used cell phones were really as impaired as drunk drivers, we would expect to see something like 285,000 cell phone-related fatalities a year, but we only see around 2,000 to 3,000.
So these simulator studies are flawed. Very likely its that when you use a cell phone your attention can snap back to the roadway when something comes into your field of vision, whereas with alcohol, you are more or less committed for the whole ride. Also, if you hold the phone up high enough, the road is still in view.
Some take an extremely dogmatic stance, no doubt drilled into them by their Driver’s Ed instructors, that it is one’s civic duty to devote absolutely all of one’s attention to the task of driving, and that anything less should be treated as a crime. And this should apply, regardless of whether the probability of a mishap it high or a low.
In my view, the problem with this line of reasoning is that in 20/20 hind sight you can always find some distraction, or lapse of attention, or thing he should have done but didn’t, so that all you end up doing is adding a layer of criminality and penalty to accidents that are going to occur anyway. The eyes-front, 100% attention is far too onerous a straight jacket to impose for what are likely to be meager benefits.
On the other hand, the 800 to 3,000 or so cell phone-related deaths that occur each year can easily be prevented if you simply defer your call. Even if you don’t save one life, you are being courteous to your fellow drivers. And if, for some reason, you should be so unlucky as to accidentally kill someone, at least you know will know that it wasn’t because you were doing something you could have very easily put off. (And for which people will be howling for your blood because of it.)