I will give you my secret trick. Every day I assist others to choose what’s behind door number 2 or number 3… Behind every door, the grim reaper may be found. There are particular odds. Each solution entails different side effects, cost, benefits. We hear things.
I tell them the most commonly chosen door for a situation.
I cast it in extremes. First, doing nothing is an option.
The most aggressive option would be to – but most people wouldn’t do…
The most conservative option would be to -
Somewhere between lies an optimal blend of risk, aggressiveness, potential benefit. some options are unreasonable, and best not introduced.
I watch facial expression, I listen to voice tension, I lure them into asking questions and grappling with it.
If this stresses them, I remind them how most would, how I would, and how given my understanding of their values and fears they might…
If they are not immediately closed in decision I encourage them to sleep on it, and discuss it with relatives. Second opinions are useful. Oddly people are allergic to more co-pays…
sociologist have modeled medical and other decision making as a list of potential choices linked to potential outcomes.
Choosing to become a lawyer may mean that your relatives will think you are a skunk, but you will be rich.
If being rich is very important to you but there is only a 5% chance of acquiring it
while being a skunk matters a little, but it is most certain to occur – then the lower value skunkinees may override the higher value, lower probability income.
This was actually demonstrated to have good experimental fit, predicting in a different situation whether or not a woman selected birth control pills.
The list of pro’s and cons idea needs to be modified to include whether or not you care about them, and how likely they are to be relevent.
Circle ones that stand out and contemplate what they really mean to you.
If you are down to a coin toss, consider learning the runes.