Let me first clarify something about myself @Seek_Kolinahr. I don’t believe in the supernatural. I don’t believe in miracles either. Like Dawkins, I believe in natural explanations for every event of our existence and beyond.
Where I differ from Dawkins, is where natural and supernatural intersect. Dawkins rules out all possibilities for a Deity from the beginning, claiming such belief as supernatural. Not very scientific of him to automatically rule out any possibility. For if there is a G-being, then it is perfectly natural for there to be a G-being, if and only if, there actually is one. Nothing supernatural about it whatsoever.
Dawkins seems confused, at one point arguing against the particular religion of Christianity, and at others, arguing against the possibility of a necessary sentient creator. I wish he wouldn’t conflate the two issues so readily, for it only serves to conflate and confuse the intricacies of the issue.
But my biggest gripe with Dawkins, is that he insists upon replacing miraculous religi with propositions of scientific magi. He simply believes in different miracles than the ones offered by the status quo of religion.
As he states:
“The origin of life on this planet… must have been a genuinely very improbable — in the sense of unpredictable — event: too improbable, perhaps, for chemists to reproduce it in the laboratory or even devise a plausible theory for what happened.”
Yet he asks us to accept this as science. How queerly hypocritical of him. He becomes a parody of the religious fanatics he mocks.
“My point is only that, given the number of planets in the universe, the origin of life could in theory be as lucky as a blindfolded golfer scoring a hole in one. The beauty of the anthropic principle is that, even in the teeth of such stupefying odds against, it still gives us a perfectly satisfying explanation for life’s presence on our own planet.”
His analogy and metaphor is laughable. But also sad to think that many fall for it so easily.
When weighing Dawkins metaphor against the math of Kittel and Kroemer, I’ll plum for the mathematicians.
When Dawkins says: “Yet, given that there are at least a billion billion planets in the universe, even such absurdly low odds as these will yield life on a billion planets.”, he should consider that it’s much much greater than “a billion billion”.
Beyond metaphorical speculation suggesting miraculous accidents, Kittel and Kroemer suggest a more realistic figure:
“less than one in 10^183,800… (and) therefore zero in any operational sense of an event”
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Alas, I also believe in Evolution and Natural Selection. However, what Dawkins doesn’t go into from your provided link, is the mechanism that Natural Selection works upon or the necessary Informational catalyst to get it all started. And beyond that Info catalyst, he still doesn’t address simply communication concerns as transmitter or receiver, redundancy, error correction, noise reduction…
Yet he demonstrates his hypocrisy by insisting upon the religi to provide every explanation to a tee: “But we are never told why God is magically able to terminate regresses while needing no explanation himself. To be sure, we do need some kind of explanation for the origin of all things.”
His duplicity approaches vulgar ad-hoc. Which is great for selling books. But the scientific method requires the same resolute standards be applied to all hypothesis.
Please play fair Mr. Dawkins, otherwise admit your hypocrisy. At least you’ve admitted your conjecture: “Whether my conjecture is right that evolution is the only explanation for life in the universe, there is no doubt that it is the explanation for life on this planet. Evolution is a fact…”
But what type of Evo are you speaking of Mr. Dawkins? Classic or Neo Darwinism? Does Natural Selection function on the mechanism of Random Mutation or Controlled Mutations? And again, how exactly does your Evo begin without an Informational catalyst?
Speaking of Informational catalyst, it is the argument that he doesn’t address whatsoever. Either out of ignorance or avoidance, only he can answer. Though he fully admits: “First, most of the traditional arguments for God’s existence, from Aquinas on, are easily demolished.” Key term “most”. And by not addressing the ones not “so easily demolished”, he reveals himself again to be a parody of “the disingenuous hypocrisy of religious people” that he ridicules. What a chump.
I suggest that he specifically avoids the argument from Informational catalyst and Sentient authored code because is completely resolves the Paley’s Watch argument that he so often rejects. Sure the watch could have formed from the properties of chaos alone. But if we were to find a set of genuine codified plans that predicted the existence of the watch before it ever manifest into physical reality, then we know that it was designed and not a product of chaos at all.
The Plans… The Code, IS the smoking gun that demands we infer sentient authorship. It passes the scientific method with flying colors and presents itself with centuries of precedent.
Mr. Dawkins is a pseudo-scientific magi who is not interested in scientific truth nearly as much as he is in selling bibles to his congregation of unwitting followers.
To his credit however, the chapter I critique is called: “WHY THERE ALMOST CERTAINLY IS NO GOD”. Key term, “Almost Certainly”. I’d love to see the peer reviewed opinions about having that phrase in the title of any scientific paper.