Maybe I should have quit while I was ahead, and I could have just imagined that I was being called “stupid and lazy”. Now I’m “grossly negligent and totally unacceptable”. Oh, well. It’s not like this is new territory for me.
I don’t deny “climate change”. In fact, if we’re going to be honest we may as well admit that we live in a world of “constant change”. The problem for some of us is that the planet, the Sun and the rest of the Universe seem to operate in a different time scale than we do. When I hear people yapping about “cataclysmic change!” I’m reminded of my dorg when I take her with me in the car. When we stop at a traffic light she starts whining: “We’re not moving! We have to go go go! We’ll be here for ever!” Eventually—so far, every time—we get to where we were going. Imagining that we have much ability to mitigate much of the change the planet experiences is pretty hubristic, to my way of thinking.
Eventually—despite whatever we do or refuse to do—this planet will go its own way, too, as it has for billions of years and will for billions more. An ice age of 10,000 years or a 100,000-year recovery from a truly cataclysmic event such as an asteroid strike, or an insignificant decades-long little pimple prick of a mega volcano eruption are all nothing events to the planet. Likewise its current infestation of humans, I’m sure. Sea levels will rise and fall, mountains will crumble, seabeds will rise to become new mountains, and continents will continue their slow-motion meet-and-greet. (Maybe in Earth terms it’s more of a reel than a waltz, but it’s some kind of dance.)
But here’s another fact about global warming.
In 2005 Europe had a severe and highly publicized heat wave in the summer. Some 5,000 people were killed across the continent as a direct effect of the weather. Everyone would agree—and I agree—that that was a tragedy. It was a bad thing, it was because of the weather, and it was HOT weather. I stipulate that. But here’s the mitigating fact: In a normal winter (from UK Statistics) for the current decade the average winter weather kill in the UK alone is around 25,000 people. (That’s just the UK, that is, and not all of Europe, for the geographically challenged.) Isn’t that a tragedy, too? (Incidentally, when I looked this up several years ago the statistics I saw at a similar site—older—showed that average UK winter weather deaths for the period of the 1980s to around 2000 were about 50,000 per year.)
I’m not at all opposed to new technology when it makes sense. I would love to restart nuclear power plant construction and I support the research into fusion power generation. I’m glad to see that we’re working on alternative liquid fuels for transport to supplant our total dependence on oil for that purpose. I like the idea of solar furnaces, photovoltaics, tide power generation and wind power, too, for electric power generation—for places where that makes sense. But who imagines that we can base-load electric power generation on windmills and solar plants for the modern industrial societies that we actually live in? I’m not opposed to improved mass transit for cities and the commuters to those cities—but we don’t all live there, and I’m totally opposed to government fiat that attempts to force us to.
I’ve been around the fossil fuel power generation industry since my birth over a half-century ago; I recognize—have always recognized—that these fantastic fire-breathing machines I work on are dinosaurs. They are stupid, inefficient fire-breathing monsters—and like the dinosaurs of our planet’s pre-history, they rule. There is nothing to realistically challenge them now, especially if we’re not going to use nuclear power. I can’t wait until we replace these things; I’ve spent a career wondering when it’s going to happen and who will do it—and cheering them on all the way. But the technology to replace coal-fired power plants for cheap and reliable power generation hasn’t come along yet, and it’s foolish in the extreme to think that a blue-ribbon committee of academics and politicians can do it just by saying so.
They should talk to King Canute.